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DAVID L SMITH
Economist and Futurist
David L. Smith is an economist and futurist whose views have intrigued US, Canadian and international audiences over the past 17 years. Combining disciplines not often found together - mathematics, history, politics, philosophy - David Smith enlivens his presentations with original, though-provoking insight. Recurring themes in Mr. Smith's presentations include the critical role of energy and technology in defining the human enterprise; the "megacycles" of economic history; the transformation of the global economy presently underway; the opportunities and dangers associated with current US fiscal and monetary policy, energy policy and volatile financial markets. David Smith provides logical and useful predictions about the economic, financial and social conditions that we are likely to encounter as we enter the 21st century.
Born and raised in Buenos Aires, Argentina, David Smith came to the United States in 1958 to attend Dartmouth College, where he earned his bachelor's degree with honors in economics. After serving as a US Naval officer on destroyers and in Vietnam with the US Marine Corps, David Smith attended the Stanford Graduate School of Business, where he was awarded his master's degree with distinction in finance.
David Smith's broad perspective on the world economy and financial markets was gained through a 30-year career in the investment arena and as a lecturing economist. He first entered the field in 1966 as a securities analyst for a major West Coast bank, and later for a New York Stock Exchange member form. David Smith's investment activities have also included mergers and acquisitions with a Fortune 500 conglomerate, and securities underwriting. Since 1980, he has written and lectured extensively about national and international economic cycles, with special emphasis on their effects on major financial markets.
For the past fifteen years David Smith has written a highly regarded, internationally distributed economic/investment newsletter, Cyclical Investing. He has established a remarkable record of written predictions including: the collapse of oil prices in 1986 and the soaring stock and bond markets that accompanied it; the stock market crash in 1987 and its subsequent strong recovery; the Gulf War in 1990 and accompanying spike in oil prices and stock market decline; the surge in stocks and bonds beginning in 1995; and most recently, the swoon in stock prices and decline in interest rates (an unusual and ominous combination) that began in July 1998. Most of these predictions ran contrary to the prevailing conventional wisdom at the time.
David Smith is frequently quoted in the financial press, including Money Magazine, many newspapers and has appeared on CNBC, the Public Broadcasting System as well as numerous local television and radio stations.
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